Should I Buy a New HVAC System Before or After the 2025 Refrigerant Change?

If you’ve been shopping around for a new HVAC system lately, you may have heard about the upcoming 2025 refrigerant change. This shift will see a phase-out of current refrigerants like R-410A, with newer, more eco-friendly options like R-454B and R-32 taking their place.

But when is the best time to invest in a new system? Should you make the move now or wait until after 2025? HVAC.com walks you through the pros and cons of upgrading before or after the refrigerant change, so you can make an informed decision.

What Is the 2025 Refrigerant Change?

In 2025, new HVAC systems will no longer use R-410A, the most common refrigerant in residential air conditioning units and heat pumps. This is part of a global effort to reduce the environmental impact of refrigerants that contribute to global warming and ozone depletion. Instead, manufacturers will begin using alternative refrigerants like R-454B and R-32, which have a lower Global Warming Potential (GWP) and are more environmentally friendly.

This change aligns with environmental regulations set by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and is aimed at helping the HVAC industry reduce its carbon footprint. As a homeowner, this transition could impact both the cost and availability of HVAC systems, which is why it’s important to consider your options before making any decisions.

Should You Buy a New HVAC System Now?

One of the key considerations in deciding whether to buy a new HVAC system before the 2025 refrigerant change is cost. Even though many HVAC manufacturers have already ended production of systems that use R-410A, they’re still widely available and relatively affordable. 

Starting in 2025, systems using the new refrigerants will become the standard, and you will not be able to purchase a unit that uses R-410A. This change could drive up the price of a new HVAC system.

Why Buy Now?

• Potential Cost Savings: If you’re looking to replace your HVAC system on a budget, buying before the 2025 refrigerant change might be your best bet. Prices for HVAC systems using the new refrigerants are expected to be more expensive than the previous R-410A systems. Additionally, installation costs could go up as new training and standards may be required for technicians to handle the newer systems.
• Easy Access to Parts and Service: If you replace your HVAC system now with one that uses R-410A, you’ll likely have easier access to parts and service. HVAC professionals are still familiar with these systems, and replacement parts are readily available. R-410A refrigerant will still remain available to service these systems in the coming years.
• Immediate Comfort: If your current HVAC system is struggling to keep up with your home’s heating or cooling needs, replacing it now gives you a reliable, efficient system without delay. 

The Benefits of Waiting Until After the 2025 Refrigerant Change

On the other hand, waiting to replace your HVAC unit until after the 2025 refrigerant change does come with some advantages, particularly for eco-conscious homeowners or those looking for long-term savings. The new refrigerants like R-454B and R-32 are designed to be more efficient and environmentally friendly.

Why Wait to Upgrade?

• Better for the Environment: If reducing your carbon footprint is a priority, waiting for the 2025 refrigerant change allows you to purchase a system that uses eco-friendly refrigerants. R-454B and R-32 have a significantly lower GWP compared to R-410A, meaning they contribute less to global warming. Over time, this can have a positive impact on the environment.
• Energy Efficiency: HVAC systems using the new refrigerants are likely to be more energy efficient, potentially reducing your utility bills in the long run. While you might pay more upfront for a system using R-454B or R-32, the energy savings could offset the higher initial cost over time.
• Future-Proofing: By waiting, you’re investing in the latest technology that’s compliant with future regulations. You’ll also avoid the potential complications of using a system with outdated refrigerants that may become harder to service or repair.

How Much More Expensive Will New HVAC Systems Be?

One of the biggest questions homeowners have about the 2025 refrigerant change is how much more expensive new HVAC systems will be. While it’s difficult to predict exact costs, experts anticipate that systems using R-454B and other new refrigerants will be more expensive than current models.

Why the Price Increase?

• Manufacturing Costs: Developing new HVAC systems to accommodate the newer refrigerants requires updated technology and manufacturing processes. This, coupled with the increased cost of the refrigerants themselves, will likely lead to higher prices for consumers.
• Training and Installation: Technicians will need to be trained to work with the new refrigerants, and this could increase labor costs. In addition, the installation process for newer systems may be more complex, leading to higher costs for homeowners.

The Middle Ground: Repair vs. Replace

If you’re still on the fence about whether to buy a new HVAC system before or after 2025, consider the condition of your current system. If your unit is still relatively new and performing well, you might be better off investing in regular maintenance and repairs until after the refrigerant change.

• Lifespan: Most HVAC systems have a lifespan of about 15 years. If your system is nearing the end of its life, replacing it before 2025 could be a smart move to avoid higher prices later.
• Rising Repair Costs: If your system requires frequent repairs or uses R-22 refrigerant, which is already phased out, you might be better off replacing it now. Continuing to repair an aging system could end up costing more in the long run.

Should You Buy Now or Wait?

Ultimately, whether you should buy a new HVAC system before or after the 2025 refrigerant change depends on your priorities. If you’re budget-conscious and want to save on upfront costs, buying now could be the best choice. On the other hand, if you’re eco-minded and want a more energy-efficient system, waiting for the newer refrigerants may be the way to go.

No matter what you decide, it’s important to stay informed about how the 2025 refrigerant change will affect the HVAC industry and your home’s comfort. Talk to an HVAC professional who can help you weigh the pros and cons based on your specific needs and budget.